Hmm. Maybe! That's a possible scenario.
Dragonflight had 3 seasons. Collectively, they started on week 3 of Dragonflight and ended on week 74, lasting ~72 weeks in total.
BlizzCon happened on week 49 of the expansion's lifespan. That's where TWW was announced. The following week, 10.2 came out, and the week after that, S3 released.
If you look at where week 49 of TWW lands, that is right between July and August this year, literally right around the same time 11.2 is rumoured to be released, and with Gamescom following just 2 weeks later.
With me so far?
Okay, let's speculate ahead, beyond that and into Midnight. Assuming TWW's seasons last 72 weeks in total, just like they did for Dragonflight, that will mean S3 ends around January 20th, 2026. For Dragonflight, 17 weeks passed between S3 ending and TWW releasing.
That puts us on Tuesday, the 19th of May 2026. In addition to this, the time between TWW's announcement and release was 297 days. If you add 297 days from August 20 of 2025, when Midnight is likely to be announce, you end up on June 13th, 2026.
However, there are a few notable differences this time around. We need to consider three things:
1. Blizzard said, back when the Worldsoul Saga was announced, that they were looking into ways of delivering expansions to us faster than we're used to.
2. According to the WoW 2025 roadmap, Housing arrives a couple of weeks after winter officially begins, which is December 21st. I doubt they would launch Housing and then not follow up with Midnight proper over the next couple of months. The hype would eventually just die out if they took too long.
3. Legion Remix begins around the middle of autumn, so around the week of November 4th. MoP remix lasted 3 months, ending about a week before TWW launched. 3 months from November 4th is February 4th, 2026. A couple of weeks on top of that, and we're on the week of February 17th, 2026.
This makes me believe they will shave about 3 months off the expansions as they come to a close, perhaps by simply removing the downtime between S3 and pre-patch, or drastically shortening it anyway.
Okay, let's humour the idea that Midnight does come out on February 17th, 2026. What does that mean for future announcements?
Well, if Midnight follows the same patch cadence as TWW and DF, then 12.2 should be announced around late November, 2026, and TLT should be unveiled in early February of 2027.
The only thing that makes me doubt this scenario a bit is the fact that they will have had a BlizzCon just a few months before. Like, 2 months before this 12.2 announcement scenario, and about 5 months before the speculated TLT announcement. Wouldn't that be a bit silly? To host your first BlizzCon in 3 years, only to wait another few months with your biggest announcements?
This kind of makes me believe that we'll get both 12.2 and TLT announced at BlizzCon. Didn't they do that at one point before, like when Cataclysm or MoP was announced?
All they'd really need to do is go "Heroes of the Horde and Alliance, as the dust settles around Quel'thalas, soon, you are about to take the fight directly to the Void, as you assault K'aresh and banish the Shadow forever! But as you are about to find out in patch 12.2, things do not always go according to plan... which brings us to *drumroll* THE LAST TITAN!"