The methodology used by Kleck has been severely critisized (*4), Harvard Injury Control Research Center Director David Hemenway has labeled Kleck's result "an enormous overestimate" and pointed out that the results require one to believe, for instance, that "burglary victims use their guns in self-defense more than 100% of the time." (*4)
Hemenway comments on the 2.5 Million estimate concluding, “It is clear that the claim of 2.5 million annual self-defense gun uses is a vast overestimate”. He posits that the main culprit is “the telescoping and...false positive problem that derives from the very limited number of respondents claiming a self-defense gun use, a matter of misclassification that is well known to medical epidemiologists”.
Other statements regarding “claims by the CDC” (e.g. on the value of gun ownership for self defense) are similarly NOT by the CDC itself, but reporting on claims by others (Kleck et al) “based on an extrapolation from a small number of responses” (*4).
Data from the National Crime Victimization Survey indicates that the likely number (sic) is closer to 338,700 over a FIVE year period; thus closer to 68,000 a year (*2) – only one thirty fifth (3%) the number claimed by Gleck (and the NRA); although depending on the years chosen NCVS estimates vary from 60,000 to 120,000 (*7).
It is important to note that although a firearm was “involved”, the degree of involvement is not clear :
Did the firearm actually play an active role in self defence ? Thus an armed homeowner might well have scared off an armed intruder, but to what extent was the firearm a contributing factor ? Was the intruder scared off merely by the presence of the other person ? It is already known that the majority of burglaries occur when homeowners are away (*8), indicating an understandable preference to avoid confrontation. Becoming aware of the existence of the homeowner may well have sufficed to deter some intruders – the presence of a firearm may well have been irrelevant; one could equally argue that the homeowner was clothed, therefore clothes are an active deterrent.
Was the firearm used by civilians ? If the argument is that civilians require weapons for self defense, the that should be supported by data relating to civilian use. As yet it is not possible to exclude off duty usage by law enforcement or military (operating under a different regime of training and controls).
Was the firearm of actual value – compared to the disadvantages? It is known that around 0.75% of firearm related deaths were justifiable homicides [in 2010 of approximately 31,076 firearms deaths (*3), 230 were “justifiable” (*2)]. Given the relatively low percentage of “justifiable” homicides one needs to know whether the advantages for self defense outweigh the disadvantages. Having a firearm available for self defense requires accessibility – which contrasts with the need for security with children in the home; it is already known that there are many incidents of children killing people after obtaining access to firearms that should have been stored securely (*9). It is already known that possession increases the likelihood of bbeing shot by a factor of 4.5 (*9).
Ironically, as the NRA argues “If we implement laws requiring gun controls then only criminals will have guns” (see myth #1), demonstrating that to ascertain the value of self defense, one should rightfully exclude usage by criminals (unless one is arguing that criminals engaged in crimes have a legitimate right of armed self defense). For the data claim to be meaningful, one must have an estimate of the usage by criminals so that this can be deducted from the total. To date this is not possible.
Until there is better data available, one must approach claims of the value of firearms for self defense, with great caution. Certainly the suggestion of “millions” of annual uses should be considered a fantasy number.
Hell putting a solid door and good windows on your home prevents more in home violence than a gun that actually increases it
http://www.crimeinamerica.net/2010/0...violent-crime/
https://www.mediamatters.org/blog/20...write-f/194660
http://lawcenter.giffords.org/gun-de...es-statistics/
This one is my favorite, in 2010 there were only 230 times that a killing someone with a gun was justifiable. out of 33000 gun related deaths........that is not even 1% of the time. Guns do not save lifes they take them.
http://www.vpc.org/studies/justifiable.pdf