Yes, it is. Because Trump is not "just another Republican" - he is the first President in a long time to have won on a White America campaign message. I'm going to ignore the inevitable "Donald Trump didn't win because of racism" garbage you'll reply with because, quite frankly, I'm not interested in hearing McCarthy's excuses.
Hillary was a bad candidate, yes, but saying that she lost ignores a very important question:
Why was Donald Trump electorally viable to the degree that he was? Why was it Clinton versus Trump and not another Clinton versus Bush? So we're going to ignore Clinton entirely in our assessment, and focus on the reasons why people voted for Trump, and what context that exists in.
Here are the usual excuses:
- "He promised to drain the swamp."
- "He speaks his mind."
- "His voters responded to economic anxiety."
- "His campaign resonated with those who have been left behind."
Where these excuses fall apart is in the demographic breakdown. Trump did not universally appeal to people who had an axe to grind with the establishment, or people who were economically anxious, or social outcasts. No, there was only one demographic that was receptive to his message:
White people.
People say "Trump ran as a moderate"; no, he didn't. One of the things a lot of analysts commented on at the time was the
lack of elaborated policies in contrast to the traditional stump speeches and manifestos. So what did he run on, explicitly?
- Calling Mexicans rapists and criminals
- Banning Muslim immigration
- Building a wall to keep illegal immigrants out
- National stop and frisk
We also know from a lot of statistical sources that hostile sexism and denial of racism were significantly more predictive of voting for Trump than "economic anxiety" as detailed both
in this study as well as the graphic below:
Additionally, lack of education was *significantly* predictive, as shown
in this study. Here's a fun excerpt:
Lack of a college education was persistently noted as the strongest predictor of Trump support. This pattern led journalists with limited date toward economic explanations. However, education is also the strongest predictor of support for international trade, a relationship that is not tied to income or occupation so much as ethnocentrism. Negative attitudes towards racial and ethnic diversity are also correlated with low levels of education. In this election, education represented group status threat rather than being left behind economically. Those who felt that the hierarchy was being upended - with whites discriminated against more thank blacks, Christians discriminated against more than Muslims, and men discriminated against more than women - were most likely to support Trump.
Why does it matter whether Trump's support was driven by being left behind economically, as opposed to a sense that one's status in the domestic or international level has suffered? Some workers obviously have suffered financially, even if the general trend is toward improvement. However, these losses were not politicized when it came to voting in 2016. Trump's victory may be viewed more admirably when it is attributed to a groundswell of support from previously ignored workers than when it is attributed to those whose status is threatened by minorities and foreign countries. More importantly, elected officials who embrace the left behind narrative may feel compelled to pursue policies that will do little to assuage the fears of less educated Americans. Furthermore, Trump's "us vs. them" rhetoric does little to lead whites and minorities or Americans and foreigners to view one another in less threatening ways, and it calls to whites' attention the fact that they are already doing quite well relative to minority groups and relative to those in the countries they often find threatening.
Sidenote: Perceptions of the economy do not determine political preference, but the inverse. People's view of the economy is strongly conditioned by their attitude towards incumbents. Keeping this in mind...it's easy to see why there are high levels of economic dissatisfaction among Trump voters, since they viewed the economy as worse off based on their perceptions of their predecessor.
Speaking of. Let's compare Obama with Trump. The former was educated, well spoken, had a stable, loving nuclear family, and never suffered from a personal scandal in office. Trump is...not that. Why, then, did people vote for him? Why did people find his crassness, his horrible temperament, his lack of qualifications, his lack of knowledge in general, and his obsession with denigrating his opponents appealing, rather than noxious? If economic hardship wasn't the reason, if elaborated policies weren't the reason...We have a simple explanation.
Donald Trump won the 2016 election because affirming the primacy of whiteness is still an issue of importance to many white voters.
There it is, in the simplest of terms. White supremacy hates genuine meritocracy, because meritocracy by definition enables people to rise by their talents rather than their race or gender. And to guard against genuine meritocracy, this means that everything *of* merit has to be sacrificed. The entitlement gets so profound that many white voters are willing to sacrifice the economic benefits to their class in exchange for seeing white primacy preserved - that is why they stick with him despite the tariffs, and the maladministration.
Again: Donald Trump's behavior is a feature, not a bug. He won the GOP primary and was propelled to the White House because a large swathe of white voters wanted to send a message to America after 8 years of a black President who successfully navigated the ship of state:
"The worst of us should still be given deference over the best of you."
So there you have it, Dacien. An empirical demonstration of why, despite all your whinging and desperate appeals to people's good nature, there is nothing redeeming about your decision or continued support of the GOP and of Donald Trump. And why people have every goddamn right to be enraged.