August 7th primaries and special election

[Travis B]

Figured we could use a thread to discuss today's primaries and the special election in Ohio. The polls just closed in Ohio and results are starting to come in.

[GennGreymane]

neat

I wonder how it will go

Red all the way I assume.

[Machismo]

I expect a GOP win by about 4-5 points.

[Travis B]

I'm predicting the Dem will win by 1 or 2 points, let's hope I'm right!

[Low Hanging Fruit]

Honestly in that district if a Dem is even in striking distance it's a bad sign for Republicans. But moral victories aren't wins. I think the Rs hold onto it but narrowly. 2-4 points. Even though I would be pretty happy for the Ds to pull it out.

[Shadowferal]

12% so far reported in.
O'Connor has 57% so far. (Dem)
Balderson has 42.2% (Rep)

- - - Updated - - -

Ohio Special Election 32% reporting
Danny O’Connor (Dem) 53.2%
Troy Balderson (Rep) 46.1%

[Zaydin]

I will be thrilled if the Democrats pull off a win here. Then we get to see Trump play the 'It's not my fault!' game again, just like after Gillespie in Virginia and Roy Moore in Alabama.

[Shadowferal]

Too close to call now...(Rep Balderson leads by 1 percentage point)

[Gestopft]

Too close to call now...(Rep Balderson leads by 1 percentage point)

The strongest Balderson counties have all fully reported; now O'Connor is pulling ahead with Franklin county coming in.

[Shadowferal]

Yeah, O'Connor has .8% lead now. (74% reporting in)

- - - Updated - - -

Danny O’Connor leads by 0.8 percentage points, or 1,338 votes, over Troy Balderson with 85 percent of precincts fully reporting

- - - Updated - - -

o...there again,

Danny O’Connor leads by 0.1 percentage points, or 155 votes, over Troy Balderson with 85 percent of precincts fully reporting

[LinusTechTip]

Yeah, O'Connor has .8% lead now. (74% reporting in)

- - - Updated - - -

Danny O’Connor leads by 0.8 percentage points, or 1,338 votes, over Troy Balderson with 85 percent of precincts fully reporting

- - - Updated - - -

o...there again,

Danny O’Connor leads by 0.1 percentage points, or 155 votes, over Troy Balderson with 85 percent of precincts fully reporting

troy ahead by 0.6% with 89%

[alexw]

It looks like the republican will *just* about win it. But who actually wins is pretty irrelevant, as its still been a deep red seat that should normally be an easy republican win but is now a toss up. The republicans are going to do some more panicking over the Nov election I think.

[Skroe]

That Ohio is this close should cause every republican and every Trumpkin (I guess one in the same now) to crap their pants.

There is no nicer way to put it. They dumped millions upon millions of dollars in a district they've won every election for over 30 years, to *maybe* win it (or *maybe* lose it) by a margin of about 1000 votes.

They mathematically cannot do that every district.

November is going to be a slaughter.

[Shadowferal]

Danny O’Connor leads by 0.1 percentage points, or 201 votes, over Troy Balderson with 91 percent of precincts fully reporting

[Somewhatconcerned]

It looks like the republican will *just* about win it. But who actually wins is pretty irrelevant, as its still been a deep red seat that should normally be an easy republican win but is now a toss up. The republicans are going to do some more panicking over the Nov election I think.

Does it even matter if they only win by a slim margin? A win is a win for the Repubs and a loss is a loss for the Dems.

[Shadowferal]

Troy Balderson leads by 0.4 percentage points, or 741 votes, over Danny O’Connor with 95 percent of precincts fully reporting

I have to pee.

[Milchshake]

Does it even matter if they only win by a slim margin? A win is a win for the Repubs and a loss is a loss for the Dems.

Not for a district that has been Republican for like 30 years. Also that Trump got personally involved in campaigning for this race. This close of a vote still helps the Blue Wave narrative.
Also Green Party, still spoiling elections to help the GOP. The environment really appreciates your "help" Greens.


Meanwhile ....
Missouri: 90,000 ballots counted, & the GOP's new 'right-to-work' law is going down 67-33. And of these 90,000 voters, more voted in the GOP primary than in the Dem primary—so these returns were certainly not a given.

It only took 10 years but it seems that the truth is out on "right to work". Add to list: "Thank You Donald Trump For Waking Millions Of People The Fuck Up Regarding GOP Policies And The Party Itself"

[JQuill]

Does it even matter if they only win by a slim margin? A win is a win for the Repubs and a loss is a loss for the Dems.

For this specific district no it doesn't matter, but for November it absolutely matters. If Dems can make this race this close, they are likely gonna do quite well in November.

[Blur4stuff]

Impressive showing by dems in Ohio. If every race this November swings by that much then republicans will be crushed.

[Somewhatconcerned]

For this specific district no it doesn't matter, but for November it absolutely matters. If Dems can make this race this close, they are likely gonna do quite well in November.

Who's to say that Republican voters just aren't that energized about a special election in a red stronghold in August and that they won't show up in force in November when it really matters?

Just don't want to get my hopes up over these empty"moral victories."