Originally Posted by Marjane Satrapi
It's an argument that states that, if you have a dog, then you should be regularly surprised when you see that it's still the same dog. And not, say, a velociraptor. Or an M4 Sherman tank. Just because the laws of physics and chemistry and such as we understand them assure us there's no chance that will happen, that's just a "trendline" and you can't presume anything about the future based on that; maybe tomorrow, Fido will be 400 feet tall and shooting laser beams from its eyes. Totally just as reasonable as "still the same dog it was yesterday".
It's such an obviously ridiculous argument that I can't believe for one second it's actually offered in good faith.
No I don't have a problem with that, if you look closer at the graph you'll see that for the green line they posed it in terms of extinctions instead of starting with the total amount species in the top left section. The person who made the graph probably felt that it would be easier to interpret that way.
My avatar isn't about Taleb's black swan event. It's about how you can't ever prove a theory is right no matter how much supporting evidence there is, but you can prove them wrong with only a single counterexample.
Mormolyce try to focus on *ideas* as opposed to ad hominem and name-calling. Personal attacks don't actually do anything. It's like if I say "Mormolyce you're an idiot!" it wouldn't strengthen my argument so it seems pointless to me.
A Fetus is not a person under the 14th amendment.
Christians are Forced Birth Fascists against Human Rights who indoctrinate and groom children. Prove me wrong.
What's the issue here? Graphs are good for looking at the data but they can't tell us how the population and extinction will change in the future because it depends on what people decide to do. For example if people start becoming more anti-natalist then the population will start to go down, if they become more pro-natalist then it goes up faster. Both options are possible.
Last edited by PC2; 2020-02-02 at 04:07 AM.
A Fetus is not a person under the 14th amendment.
Christians are Forced Birth Fascists against Human Rights who indoctrinate and groom children. Prove me wrong.
I think the best thing for US politics would be introducing ranked choice voting, remove first past the post, and campaign finance reform that significantly reduced the amount of money used in elections.
This would help 3rd parties be actually viable and would give voters more of a choice. It'd also force parties to stand on policies rather than on opposition to the other party.
But doing this would require Democrats and Republicans to give up a ton of money and power so it'll never happen.
You're making a point about me as a person though, it seems pointless because it's not real argument.
How likely either option is depends on how convincing each side is, which we can't know which memes will spread at a faster rate tomorrow, and the day after that, and the next after that, etc.
Yes it is.
Which shows you'll refuse to listen to concrete science as long as the Lie is Convincing enough.How likely either option is depends on how convincing each side is, which we can't know which memes will spread at a faster rate tomorrow, and the day after that, and the next after that, etc.
A Fetus is not a person under the 14th amendment.
Christians are Forced Birth Fascists against Human Rights who indoctrinate and groom children. Prove me wrong.
Last edited by szechuan; 2020-02-02 at 04:48 AM.
A Fetus is not a person under the 14th amendment.
Christians are Forced Birth Fascists against Human Rights who indoctrinate and groom children. Prove me wrong.
Last edited by PC2; 2020-02-02 at 05:05 AM.