Mega-Thread: 2020 United States General Election

[Thepersona]

You are not going by current events. Current events have Biden winning Pennsylvania.

I don't even think you're going by history, either. Trump barely won Pennsylvania last time, and he's in a far worse state this time. Pennsylvania voted for Bill Clinton both times, Barack Obama both times, Al Gore and John Kerry, all of them by a wider margin than Trump won in 2016.

At this point, I think you're cherry picking.

2016 PTSD can do wonders to the mind. It's like we have that thing lurking there everyday.

[Belize]

Na, I just think he's worried. And that's okay. We're ALL worried.

Everyone is doing all they can, and we have record turnouts to vote.

There's no reason to give in to doomer crap.

[DingDongKing]

It's no longer about overconfidence. That caution has run its course. People are voting in droves now, most minds are already made up.

Na, I think cautious optimism is a-okay. No point being doomy of course, but cautious optimism is always better.

[Doctor Amadeus]

You sound like the people that were screaming about a Red Wave in 2018 and how the GOP were going to reclaim even more of the House.

I do not believe there will be a red wave I’m just hoping it’s enough in the senate so that worse case scenario Trump is effectively shut down.

[Breccia]

It's no longer about overconfidence. That caution has run its course. People are voting in droves now, most minds are already made up.

I believe I saw that more people have already voted in 2020 than voted in 2016 somewhere. It might have been just one or two states tho.

[Thepersona]

538 listed two yesterday where Trump was up by two. He'd gone weeks without any victories at all.

However, there were six yesterday where Biden won by +3 or more. Hence my statement.

Wasnt one made by traffalgar?

Also, i've seen some polls posted yesterday that had Biden up by 10+ in Penn. Yesterday

[DingDongKing]

Everyone is doing all they can, and we have record turnouts to vote.

There's no reason to give in to doomer crap.

Yeah, for sure. Hence the need for him to chillout.

[Belize]

538 listed two yesterday where Trump was up by two. He'd gone weeks without any victories at all.

However, there were six yesterday where Biden won by +3 or more. Hence my statement.

It's worth to note that those polls were taken between February and March. So.

Eh??

[Breccia]

Wasnt one made by traffalgar?

Also, i've seen some polls posted yesterday that had Biden up by 10+ in Penn. Yesterday

Indeed, Trump has his work cut out for him. Obama was there last week. You know who's not Trump, stumping for Trump? Nobody.

[DingDongKing]

538 listed two yesterday where Trump was up by two. He'd gone weeks without any victories at all.

However, there were six yesterday where Biden won by +3 or more. Hence my statement.

I saw those. Here's the hilarity of them.

It's worth to note that those polls were taken between February and March. So.

Eh??

Precisement.

[Breccia]

It's worth to note that those polls were taken between February and March.

...they were? Oh shit.

[DingDongKing]

No, being morbidly obese is absolutely wrong. Some people need to stop hiding behind "dont fat shame me bro" and just go on a diet. The president is one of them

Being morbidly obese is wrong. Bullying someone for being fat is wrong.

[Doctor Amadeus]

Everyone is doing all they can, and we have record turnouts to vote.

There's no reason to give in to doomer crap.

Doom and gloom no, it’s about realistic expectations. If people say fuck it we have it in the bag Trump will win.

[Shadowferal]

I believe I saw that more people have already voted in 2020 than voted in 2016 somewhere. It might have been just one or two states tho.

It's encouraging; why early voting history is being made right now

[alexw]

I don't know how likely it is but this is the only path of Victory I can see for Biden.



If you want to compile your own map and show it here is the link to where you can do that.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...p/?cid=abcnews

Why on earth are you giving every swing state to Trump then saying this is Biden's best case scenario?

Surely the best case Biden is where he wins every swing state?

[DingDongKing]

Doom and gloom no, it’s about realistic expectations. If people say fuck it we have it in the bag Trump will win.

Again, that's a false equivalence. You can be realistic without being 'HOLY SHIT THIS IS ALL GONNA BURN!'

You can vote in droves regardless and you know...influence the vote that way. Winning an election isn't like playing football. Just vote more = win.

[Belize]

If people say fuck it we have it in the bag Trump will win.

Literally no one is saying that. Get yourself a better strawman.

You're just as likely to discourage people from voting with your doomer shit, since you're telling them all their efforts are for naught even though Biden is leading in their state by quite a bit.

[DingDongKing]

Why on earth are you giving every swing state to Trump then saying this is Biden's best case scenario?

Surely the best case Biden is where he wins every swing state?

Nein, only one person said that's Biden best case. For me that's one of his worst cases.

[Doctor Amadeus]

It's no longer about overconfidence. That caution has run its course. People are voting in droves now, most minds are already made up.

Made up for whom though?

[DingDongKing]

Made up for whom though?

Bro, just go get a hug from someone. You need it.