Mega-Thread: 2020 United States General Election

[Machismo]

Starting to get nervous that arizona is going to go to trump. Biden's lead has been shrinking pretty dramatically as the remaining votes get counted. If he loses arizona he needs either georgia or pennsylvania as well as michigan and wisconsin

Where are you getting your data?

There is no indication that is currently happening.

[beanman12345]

Starting to get nervous that arizona is going to go to trump. Biden's lead has been shrinking pretty dramatically as the remaining votes get counted. If he loses arizona he needs either georgia or pennsylvania as well as michigan and wisconsin

i don't think any of arizona counties are 100% in yet. so it's not unusual for numbers coming in from more red counties to give trump more votes to slim the lead, but maricopa is going biden big. trump has a HUGE climb to get to win arizona at this point.

[alexw]

So assuming nothing else flips right now Biden is at 270 while Trump is at 268. So that should be pretty clear why people are saying it yea? There is also the fact that the count left in PA is heavily favoring Biden there is a very real chance it flips blue just like WI and MI did early this morning as they counted the early vote. There is a very slim chance that GA flips when they finish counting the votes around Atlanta which is left to count, I'm not really counting on that though.

GA is likely to flip according to the NYT. Their needle forecasts have been spot on so far since from early on in the counting when I was watching them.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...imes&smtyp=cur

[Timester]

Biden just jumped to a 0.7% lead in Michigan.

[Xeones]

Just happened to notice that Twitter is hiding Trumps tweets like they do pornographic material.

[Cthulhu 2020]

Is that another one of those polls that predicted Biden winning by a landslide?

You'd hope that after a while people would start being a bit more critical of polls.

Numerous sites simply ran simulation models. 538 ran over 30k simulations on the election and had Trump winning 3k of those simulations. Most other polling sites did similar. Stop being dishonest.

[Grapemask]

We should probably just do as Trump asked and stop counting right now. Take the winners of the states as they are currently counted. I don't know why we keep resisting this president.

[Somewhatconcerned]

AZ not a done deal, per 538:


"So, earlier I said that Biden had a lead in Arizona of around 3.5 points with about 99 percent of the expected vote in. It turns out that there may have been some sort of issue with Edison Research’s data stream, however, and there may actually be less of the expected vote in. That obviously matters as the vote has trended toward Trump since Biden led after the initial vote returns were announced in Arizona. All we know is that Biden is ahead and that some votes remain to be counted in Arizona."

Not sure which counties or which way these remaining votes lean.

[Adam Jensen]

Sorry, my bad I meant North Carolina instead of Virginia.

Right now, Biden is ahead in all the states he needs to win the election.

It is far from certain and far from over, but even if he just holds on to what he's got, it's a win.

Of course, fuckface will take to the courts and who knows what'll happen next.

[DingDongKing]

Starting to get nervous that arizona is going to go to trump. Biden's lead has been shrinking pretty dramatically as the remaining votes get counted. If he loses arizona he needs either georgia or pennsylvania as well as michigan and wisconsin

Dunno what you're reading. His lead has stayed static at 93k votes for hours now. Can I ask where you're getting info from? Just to ease your mind.

[Timester]

We should probably just do as Trump asked and stop counting right now. Take the winners of the states as they are currently counted. I don't know why we keep resisting this president.

Magical votes!

[Belize]

We should probably just do as Trump asked and stop counting right now. Take the winners of the states as they are currently counted. I don't know why we keep resisting this president.

Lmao, not a bad idea tbh

[beanman12345]

Biden has increased to 32565 in michigan. 25% of detroit still not accounted for.

[thilicen]

And Biden increases in Michigan, looking good atm.

[SirBeef]

Is that another one of those polls that predicted Biden winning by a landslide?

You'd hope that after a while people would start being a bit more critical of polls.

Polls are only a snapshot of that exact moment in time. Just because someone is registered to vote doesn't mean they will even if they say so in a poll. Those 8+ polls were national which mean nothing in an election.

Also FL would have been Bidens by 2 pts if 750K freed felons could have voted I stead of being subjected to a poll tax they couldn't afford. Which would have put those late Biden leads more closer to reality.

[Adam Jensen]

Because they're delusional.

Not really delusional since no one here is saying Biden will win Penn or GA (though there's a chance.) But VA was decided fairly early on last night.

[Grapemask]

AZ not a done deal, per 538:


"So, earlier I said that Biden had a lead in Arizona of around 3.5 points with about 99 percent of the expected vote in. It turns out that there may have been some sort of issue with Edison Research’s data stream, however, and there may actually be less of the expected vote in. That obviously matters as the vote has trended toward Trump since Biden led after the initial vote returns were announced in Arizona. All we know is that Biden is ahead and that some votes remain to be counted in Arizona."

Not sure which counties or which way these remaining votes lean.

I doubt it will flip, based on the counties that are underreported. Trump would basically need to get every single vote in the rural areas.

Nevada's the more likely flip if something flips.

[Cthulhu 2020]

GA is likely to flip according to the NYT. Their needle forecasts have been spot on so far since from early on in the counting when I was watching them.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...imes&smtyp=cur

Trump is currently 100k votes ahead, and the last votes yet to be counted are about 200k votes from urban Atlanta. Georgia will probably be the closest state race this year, unless PA or NC can outdo it somehow.

[Gaidax]

AZ not a done deal, per 538:


"So, earlier I said that Biden had a lead in Arizona of around 3.5 points with about 99 percent of the expected vote in. It turns out that there may have been some sort of issue with Edison Research’s data stream, however, and there may actually be less of the expected vote in. That obviously matters as the vote has trended toward Trump since Biden led after the initial vote returns were announced in Arizona. All we know is that Biden is ahead and that some votes remain to be counted in Arizona."

Not sure which counties or which way these remaining votes lean.

Arizona is done deal. Fox guys explained why they called it and the reasoning is that what's remaining there is simply not going to tip the balance in any way or shape.

[Belize]

Trump is currently 100k votes ahead, and the last votes yet to be counted are about 200k votes from urban Atlanta. Georgia will probably be the closest state race this year, unless PA or NC can outdo it somehow.

Don't count Wisconsin to not be close.

Hoping that Biden can get margins above automatic recount, but he's only .7 ahead.