No... there's just a couple of bad weeks because of big holidays. US Thanksgiving is the last Thursday in November. People often travel to visit family and such during that week and while nearly everything is closed for just the day, offices usually have skeleton crews. Same for Christmas week, and the week between Christmas and New Years. If people have 'use it or lose it' vacation time, this is when they tend to burn it, so again, not many people. Of course retail and other industries are different, but this is how things tend to work for most office environments.
Why would december 15th be unlikely?
Yes, it would mean the 2nd reset would be during christmas, but the 3rd reset would be jan 5th which would be the perfect date to release the raid because it's after christmas, which means people are back to work.
And as always, heroic week is the tuning week, enough time to gather information and tune specs for mythic week on jan 12th.
I think if they are going to release it December 1 or 8 (I can't see any date before that being likely), they may very well make the release date announcement today or before the investor call tomorrow. If they can confirm that before the call, they will want to, because it gives them good news to present going into the call.
If we don't hear anything by the call tomorrow, it increases the likelihood of further delays.
This is where I see the California fires being especially problematic for a release date in December. If they are going to release on 12/1 or 12/8, they likely will want to announce it before or at the investor call, probably before. To do that, they'll certainly want sign off from all the teams involved, some of which may have high profile members traveling to other parts of the country to get away from the fire/smoke. Unless they've had that sign off already for a while, getting such a sign off while everyone is in flux due to the fires may pose a problem, so Blizz may instead just opt to go for a safe date if they announce one.
If we don't hear about it by the end of the investor call tomorrow, it seems somewhat likely that they will look towards 2021 and didn't want to have that news out before the investor call.
So idk if u guys saw the AMD vid just a few mins ago, it was shown that we will have a WoW Feature Vid on November 10th.
It would make perfect sense if the Scourge Invasion goes live that week or the next and it could confirm the late Nov, early Dec release.
To back up this claim, I've got the picture right here. Was just shown at the AMD event this morning. Remember that NVDIA email that got tossed around last week about advertising raytracing for Shadowlands in November. https://gyazo.com/ba6d3231ea341e2f6918a29044a80a9b