Originally Posted by
Thage
Canonically, the Alliance is the recognized winner of the Fourth War. In the book featuring Shaw and Flynn traveling the world, it's shown that the Alliance has secured Arathi and part of Hillsbrad, and the Alliance-aligned Bloodfang Pack have pushed the Horde out of Silverpine, with Ivar ruling from Fenris Keep. It stands to reason Gilneas will be secured shortly barring anything unforeseen. In Kalimdor, the Alliance retook Darkshore and seem on-track to retake at least part of Ashenvale. The Horde has retaken Tirisfal and still controls their share of the Western Plaguelands, but between restructuring their government and seeming to resume the post-Third War status quo (overlooking border clashes and resource skirmishes as 'just the cost of business), one would be hard-pressed to agree the Horde won considering it all but capitulated to the Alliance's peace terms, something that Talanji especially is unhappy with in Shadows Rising.
- - - Updated - - -
The night elves are currently split in two camps: the Alliance patriots under Shandris, who want to move forward as their means of handling their grief, and those who rally under Tyrande and Maiev, who've significantly stepped back from the Alliance and once again treat it as a purely military, well, alliance.