Nah. You're making the mistake of applying an entirely different set of rules and parameters to the situation than necessarily exist in Russia. That's not to say that Putin is definitely going to consider himself a winner in this war, but it certainly leaves room for him to still have goals that he can achieve that he deems worth the collective response.
"The difference between stupidity
and genius is that genius has its limits."
--Alexandre Dumas-fils
I would not be so sure, he does not do this for shits and giggles.
I, personally, think he did it 10 years too early. But maybe he looked at energy situation + covid + the first act of US vs China saga and decided that now is the best time to make a move.
I also think that weak Crimea response from the West emboldened him too. He also likely correctly estimated that EU will not quite be able to fully cut Russia out, notice the tiptoeing around energy sector and any talk of actual foreign military action is off the table.
I do think the response is stronger than he bargained for, but it's not quite "there" yet imo as far as sacrifices that can be done. And who knows how it will end up - there will be negotiations once the dust settles and who knows who will end up with what.
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Ukrainian delegation apparently took a long route via Poland and then heli, that's why we have not heard anything until now.
So I would say you can expect talks tomorrow.
He has said of lot of things, none of which he has control of.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Ditto, one needs to know and understand the actual goals and aims of this.
One thing to keep in mind is that Russia calculated that this will be worth it and I absolutely don't think they had any illusions there won't be pain from this. Now what the goals are and whether it will be actually worth it in the end - I don't know.
But don't you think for a moment that it was some REEE outburst there - it was deliberate plan long time in making.
Maybe it was covid, but Putin is crazy. Takes only two brain cells to realize guy is mad. Wanted to be global player, now he's global outcast. Him and his ilk being shat on by the global stage even more then Trump and anyone stupid enough to have ever supported that dumbass.
Oh, I read it all. Again, nobody said that the word actually meant "Russian border". What he was saying is that it's odd that they chose that to be the formal name of the country because at the time that their constitution was written, a name meaning "borderlands" would imply an inherent connection to Russia that was not actually meant by the name's origin. To avoid confusion later, they could have renamed it something that more clearly broke ties with Moscow.
"The difference between stupidity
and genius is that genius has its limits."
--Alexandre Dumas-fils
Last edited by Gaidax; 2022-02-27 at 09:56 PM.
Crazy folks follow very strict sets of rules and parameters sometimes, doesn't make them sane. Just means their reality is misaligned with what society calls "normal". Under no "normal" circumstances can he win anything out of this. He's losing support at home before the war even got going for real, he's not having the swift victory he wanted originally and when he does ultimately defeat Ukraine, he'll have to occupy a country that hates him... if he's not gone completely senile, he will see the writing on the wall and realise that he'll get the Afghan treatment. And after that, Ukrainians will REALLY be alienated. And while that's happening, he's got sanctions blown up his ass so deep, he can't unfuck himself without going into major surgery...
Nah man, this was a big ass miscalculation of a madman. This was a Hitleresque move of idiocy. This was him thinking the world will realign itself to fit his world view. And now he's pissed that somehow nobody on this planet agrees with him.
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This is also likely why he gambled so hard on taking out the Kyiv airports early on. If he could have presented a fait accompli in the first 48 hours and attempted to play out his "look, we're just helping free them and establish a real democracy!" farce more quickly, he might have avoided some of these sanctions. Even if he gave up some, he might have considered that more of a win for being able to keep Ukraine out of NATO and firming his hold on Crimea and Donbas.
Even now, he could still see an appeasement way out of this that would get him some of the goals that he wanted, though it's beginning to look far less likely. I'm not sure how easily he could change his plans now, since they have a certain amount of momentum.
"The difference between stupidity
and genius is that genius has its limits."
--Alexandre Dumas-fils
10 years early? For what? A miracle? Russia was winning while they installed their puppet in US Government, but this here? This is ruining everything he has accomplished with that. The normalisation of saying "Putin (the dictator) is a nice chap and we should all be like him" that Trump bombarded the US media with? It's gone. Trump's now correctly veered off into the whole Mexican invasion of the US border to distract from the fact that he gets buttfucked by Putin whenever Vlad's legal house slave isn't around... I'm paraphrasing Putin, btw. I don't think wives are slaves of any sort.
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Here's the difference. Everyone knew Trump was at most a temporary problem for a max of 8 years. And he didn't actually cause any damage. Oh, he pissed off a lot of people and cost people some money, but it's not a big deal in the grand scheme of things. Putin? For him to go, he has to die first. I hope he dies every day, but that fucker is just about as stubborn as a cockroach.
Users with <20 posts and ignored shitposters are automatically invisible. Find out how to do that here and help clean up MMO-OT!
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"The difference between stupidity
and genius is that genius has its limits."
--Alexandre Dumas-fils