Originally Posted by
Cookie
Just like someone downing every single encounter every single week since release isn't "guaranteed" any drop, yet all of them have gotten quite a few. Why? Because the chance of them not getting any drop is so low that it isn't happening, for anyone.
Yes it is, or how small of a chance do you consider "basically non existant" to be? Below 1%? Below 0,1%? Below 0,01%? 0,001?
I can't remember exactly what the chance is after 5.2, but I think it's 25% for lfr, and 25% for elder charms. I'm very tired, so forgive any errors, but assuming 16 bosses, 15 charms and two week we end up with 62 rolls. The chance of not getting a single piece of loot in 62 rolls should then be 0,75^62=~0,0000018%. Guess it's as minuscule as I think.
No, you need to get the key from isle of thunder which is an hour of normal questing/rare killing, and you'll have 15 elder charms if you are bright enough to watch a guide on youtube.
I believe you said that you didn't have a single piece yet, and if you do, well then you are already even closer getting into ToT. You didn't lose anything.
In other words, what you are saying is complete bullshit, it's really fucking easy to get geared for ToT.
Would you like me to calculate the chance of getting two pieces (in two different slots) as well? You don't need to get even close to a full set from lfr to get into and pull your weight in the normal version, where you can get even more (and higher) gear.