Originally Posted by
Firebert
I think the odds of that are very low: Satsu had seventeen possible targets (eighteen players alive less the Psychic Blood Fox) and happened to choose exactly Bageloaf, who then had to either be the Fledgling or one of the two Wolves that Smelled or Guarded that night (three of sixteen remaining players). I know that in-game actions can affect the odds, but it's 1.1% if at random.
He's posted the opposite of Lora in that he'd be better as a Ghost than a VT during D2, which was a Townie move.