The person in the top image has a broad face and strong jawline. Rubio has a tapering face and a fairly standard jaw line.
The person in the second image has a fairly short forehead, where as Rubio looked to be balding even when younger. He only manages to have as short a forehead as that person when his hair is combed foreward, a feat impossible with hair as short as the pictured person.
I know nothing about Rubio really, and less about foam parties (which look fun I suppose), but neither of those dudes are Rubio.
Rubio really needs a beard.