I can't wait for dignity to return to this country.
I can't wait for dignity to return to this country.
Nah, I'd say that while Rasmussen might have a tendency to show higher results for (R), that they aren't inherently leaning either way. I like the way Nate Silver put it
( http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...eports-biased/ ):
That being said...If you’re running a news organization and you tend to cite Rasmussen’s polls disproportionately, it probably means that you are biased — it does not necessarily mean that Rasmussen is biased.
I'm gonna have to go read the poll questions on this Rasmussen poll to make an educated opinion on whether or not this poll is biased.I’m not saying that Rasmussen’s question wording is always biased. It isn’t. And I’m sure you could find a couple of cases where the wording tend to portray the liberal argument more favorably. But cases like these happen consistently enough with Rasmussen that I’d say it’s a concern. And when they do use unorthodox question wording, nine times out of ten it favors the conservative argument. I would describe this as a form of bias — although it should generally implicate only the poll in question, and not their overall enterprise.
Edit: It was a single question poll:
So I'm not seeing the bias. Maybe in how they select the 1000 people?1* If the 2016 presidential election were held today, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton?
NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/-3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence
Tough to say.Calls are placed to randomly-selected phone numbers through a process that insures appropriate geographic representation.
Last edited by Annoying; 2016-07-05 at 08:30 PM.
I'm not sure how choosing to not vote for the lesser of two evils is throwing away your vote...
Hillary debated Obama just fine. He simply offered a look that people wanted to see. Like Bernie, he got voters excited. Their debates were very well matched.
As for Trump, his debates have been circus sideshows. The GOP candidates looked pathetic up on those stages.
Rasmussen Reports' historical results vs. predictions show a consistent 2 point bias in favor of Republicans, and their methodology is given a C+ by the same Nate Silver you just cited.
As I recall, this poll only allowed a straight up choice between Clinton and Trump, without allowing for third parties. ("1* If the 2016 presidential election were held today, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton?") In those situations, Trump picks up the votes that would have otherwise gone to Johnson or Stein. You can see this effect in the other polls that ask for both 1v1 matchups and multiple candidate matchups. The Gravis Poll here, especially starkly shows this: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/doc...to_28_2016.pdf
Last edited by Reeve; 2016-07-05 at 08:37 PM.
'Twas a cutlass swipe or an ounce of lead
Or a yawing hole in a battered head
And the scuppers clogged with rotting red
And there they lay I damn me eyes
All lookouts clapped on Paradise
All souls bound just contrarywise, yo ho ho and a bottle of rum!
I'd assume that C+ is a whole lot more than just the R+2, considering the polster ratings of A's and B's with similar biases in either direction. Probably that second chunk I quoted, wherein Silver has issues with how they phrase questions. As for the third party, that's an interesting thought.
'Twas a cutlass swipe or an ounce of lead
Or a yawing hole in a battered head
And the scuppers clogged with rotting red
And there they lay I damn me eyes
All lookouts clapped on Paradise
All souls bound just contrarywise, yo ho ho and a bottle of rum!
Rasmussen all you need to know, they have a track record of being grossly wrong and over value republicans
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ..._obama_handily
From the day before the election they said Romney was gonna win in basically a landslide. So yeah thats the polling accuracy of Rasmussen for you.
You should read it for good laughs at least since they where wrong on everything in that one just the day before the election but really you expect to be right when you only call fixed landline phones? really noone under the age of 50 has those anymore.
Did you read that poll from the day before teh election in 2012? and no you do NOT get a correct sample if you only use land lines since you are only getting the old white republicans when you poll that way. really anyone with at least common sense knows you cant just ask people over the age of 65 to get a result.
I don't think "Trump" and "Hero" should be in the same sentence to be honest with you.
Exactly and it is due to this we cant take anything from Rasmussen seriously. remember this gem from 2012
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ..._obama_handily
the day before the election in 2012 and they had romney basically winning in a landslide they had Romney winning by over 90 electoral votes. And we all know that didnt happen. in fact Obama won it in an even bigger landslide by being 126 electoral votes more than Romney.
“Humanism means that the man is the measure of all things...But it is not only that man must start from himself in the area of knowledge and learning, but any value system must come arbitrarily from man himself by arbitrary choice.” - Francis A. Schaeffer
it's sad, but trump is a hero when compared to clinton.
he's the only hope of stopping her. it's not even a matter of policy right now, she came into this process anointed to be the next president, she thought it her divine right to rule and that she deserves it. nobody like that should ever be rewarded, it's just wrong.