He's a politician. Did I miss an episode or something where we started to believe any politicians are sincere?
This is something that was bizarre to me even in 2016. How does anyone "believe" in any one of these people. They're not visionaries. They are one-notch above average politicians in a political climate that's long been bereft of vision, talent, imagination and actual leaders. Our political system does not attract or generate people of that mold anymore, for a host of reasons.
So I don't how people get the slightest bit of attachment to anyone of these people. The way I look at it is purely through the perspective of utilitarianism. A politician provides a service... does something I approve or answers a specific need. And when they're usefulness to me is over, they're as good as dead to me. There is no belief. There is no loyalty or faith. They are our servants and they are all completely dispensable, and we should create a climate of fear among them where they perform or get dropped.
There are better things and better people to believe in than Comrade Trump, Old Man Sanders, Old Man Joe Biden, Professor of Everything Warren and "Oh you didn't drop out yet?" Harris.
Part of me hopes Bernie Sanders gets the nomination and wins the election, just to see him handcuffed by the same basic two year deals that Trump and Obama's second term were, just to drive the point him. Part of me want to see him or Warren sign $800 billion defense budgets, just to instruct the point that people should support and use politicians, but never for a moment should they ever trust or believe in them. They are intrinsically compromised people.
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Two things
(1) They won't drop out. As we've gone over before, neither of them have any reason to drop out until after Super Tuesday. The could split Iowa and New Hampshire (what I think they will do) and it won't make a difference. One of them could get both. Neither of them will have the courage to tell their staff, donors and supporters that they're going to make a tactical move to support the other. Not until Super Tuesday, at which point Biden cleans up and generates a Hillary-like insurmountable lead.
Oh and Harris too. California votes on Super Tuesday. She'll lose Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina, and stay in just to make as good a showing as possible in her home state and one of the largest donor states. Splitting California among progressives three ways ensures Biden gets it, and all it's delegates.
(2) Adding up Bernie and Warren to virtually "Beat" Biden isn't exactly right. Biden is also a lot of Democrat's second choice, not Bernie, because Bernie is not a real Democrat and Biden is very popular among Democrats still.Certainly it would create a much more competitive race that Biden could lose (and would lose in places he is currently winning), but it's not a simple matter of throwing all the progressives in one pile.
I'll say again, the model Democrats should be looking at is the 2012 Republican Primary, and how Mitt Romney won it.
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I mean, Nancy Pelosi has decided to do exactly what I feared (and said) she would do last year. Her primary job is a fundraiser, and she see's Trump as a cash machine to get money and win elections.
If you get a chance, listen to her interviews. This is an idealist whose private war against the Republicans utterly destroyed the idealistic progressive in her years ago. She's bitter, angry, and lives for the fight now. Don't get me wrong, she's a brilliant political strategist and took Trump to school earlier in the year. But Nancy Pelosi started to be able to justify anything she does by saying "it helps us do X Y and Z, and the best way to do that is beat Republicans" years ago. She can justify any decision she makes on those grounds. Really, watch the interviews. She constantly does it.
She is an excellent example about why there needs to be rotation of leaders at the top (note I did not say term limits), and she should have stood aside after losing the House in 2010, rather than becoming Minority leader and making everyone below her take a step down in rank.
She has a moral responsibility to impeach Trump. She must speak to the country's conscience and history and lay a marker with regards to his behavior. Even if it is doomed in the Senate she has the moral and political responsibility to take a stand, on the record, to declare his actions worthy of impeachment. I hope we're jumping the gun and they'll do that in Spring/Summer 2020, which would be ideal because it would keep Trump busy and in Washington rather than in swing states. But I fear she won't (and indeed, was never going to) purely because she thinks she can play a longer game, and utilize Trump to win elections.
Dangerous game to play with an autocratic, un-American man like Donald Trump. Also immoral.
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I think there is little evidence that impeachment would rally Trump's supporters. They're already a cult. They're already willing to lay down their dignity, principles and patriotism to protect the most un-American of people this country has produced in our life-time. They've gone this far already. How do you energize the already energized? How does impeachment fundamentally change anything with them?
I think it a baseless fear. I say it doesn't. I say if you impeach Trump, he won't see any bump in support. But it could snare him if done at a crucial time. If done right, it could indict his entire presidency in simple, straightforward terms, while he is running for re-election.
And I'll say again, we have a moral responsibility to do it, or future Americans will look at our generation with disgust at our failure to take action.