1. #54041
    Quote Originally Posted by Reyuna View Post
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    Trump landslide.

    Easy win.
    What evidence do you have to suggest this? Considering he has only LOST support since 2016. And even has a lot of ex staffers that have come out against him. Biden is polling steadily between 7 and 10 points higher than Trump the entire time.

    And even his first win, he didn't win by a landslide there was 77k gullible voters that won it for Trump. He has gotten less EC votes than Obama did in both elections, so does that mean that Obama got 2 landslide wins?

    So please, drive by poster, give me anything you base this on.

  2. #54042
    Quote Originally Posted by Reyuna View Post
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    Trump landslide.

    Easy win.
    he may well be buried under a landslide of bullshit since it's piling up everywhere around him

  3. #54043
    I am curious how this plays out. Unlike merric garland where it was something that happened early in the year and a lot of people kind of gotten over ramming through a nomination 40some days before an election seems like that would be pretty motivating for the democrats and questionable for the GOP because they are getting what they want voting or not voting for trump won't change the outcome.

  4. #54044
    Quote Originally Posted by Reyuna View Post
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    Trump landslide.

    Easy win.
    Back this up? How it could be a landslide, when he has consistently polled at the very least 7 points behind Biden (Which, AFAIK, is more than the biggest difference between Clinton and Trump at any point in 2016).
    Dont get me wrong, he can win, and it's even more possible with all of the ratfuckery that he's doing to the proccess, but i cant see a landslide win of Trump.
    Forgive my english, as i'm not a native speaker



  5. #54045
    Quote Originally Posted by Thepersona View Post
    Back this up? How it could be a landslide, when he has consistently polled at the very least 7 points behind Biden (Which, AFAIK, is more than the biggest difference between Clinton and Trump at any point in 2016).
    Dont get me wrong, he can win, and it's even more possible with all of the ratfuckery that he's doing to the proccess, but i cant see a landslide win of Trump.
    Especially since Russia is helping him again, and he is doing nothing to stop it.

  6. #54046
    Scarab Lord Zaydin's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thepersona View Post
    Back this up? How it could be a landslide, when he has consistently polled at the very least 7 points behind Biden (Which, AFAIK, is more than the biggest difference between Clinton and Trump at any point in 2016).
    Dont get me wrong, he can win, and it's even more possible with all of the ratfuckery that he's doing to the proccess, but i cant see a landslide win of Trump.
    Especially given the current evidence suggests a possible landslide for Biden. The Economist currently gives Biden a 7 in 8 chance of winning the Electoral College and a 19 in 20 chance of getting the most votes.

    Five Thirty Eight currently gives Biden a 77 out of 100 chance of winning compared to Trumps 23 out of 100.

    THe obvious caveats that these forecasts can and will change and have changed in the past. Things had narrowed around the conventions but Biden has regained his lead prior to the conventions over Trump since then.

    But yeah, like you said, Trump could well win but the odds seem slim of that given Trump is a known quantity now, has never broken an aggregate 50% approval rating his entire time in office and done little to try and grow his base. Trump is his own worst enemy because he's so polarizing most people made up their minds about him a long time ago.

    Charlie Cook wrote an op-ed where he argued that Trumps support ceiling is too low for him to win reelection. He also had an op-ed in the past that the whole reason the press is acting like this is a close race is in no small part due to scarring/trauma from 2016 and the polling issues then. Polling at the time he wrote the op-ed also gave Biden a 48% favorable rating to a 43% unfavorable compared to Trumps 40% favorable and 56% unfavorable.
    Last edited by Zaydin; 2020-09-20 at 10:48 PM.
    "If you are ever asking yourself 'Is Trump lying or is he stupid?', the answer is most likely C: All of the Above" - Seth Meyers

  7. #54047
    Quote Originally Posted by Zaydin View Post

    Charlie Cook wrote an op-ed where he argued that Trumps support ceiling is too low for him to win reelection. He also had an op-ed in the past that the whole reason the press is acting like this is a close race is in no small part due to scarring/trauma from 2016 and the polling issues then.
    The trauma of 2016 is too great for everyone. And yeah, seeing 1 candidate polling 7 points apart from the other, and being anxious that he could lose is a thing that 2016 did.
    Forgive my english, as i'm not a native speaker



  8. #54048
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    Quote Originally Posted by Reyuna View Post
    Bookmark this page.

    Trump landslide.

    Easy win.
    Is this why this thread keeps getting it's page count reduced? Random posters deleting their "Trump's going to win!!!" posts once they realized he isn't so no one can point at their foolishness.

  9. #54049
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thepersona View Post
    The trauma of 2016 is too great for everyone. And yeah, seeing 1 candidate polling 7 points apart from the other, and being anxious that he could lose is a thing that 2016 did.
    Yeah, I'm terrified of a repeat of 2016. I've seen a lot of other Democrats with the same thinking, though, all saying 'Forget the polls, get your ass out and vote'.
    "If you are ever asking yourself 'Is Trump lying or is he stupid?', the answer is most likely C: All of the Above" - Seth Meyers

  10. #54050
    Quote Originally Posted by Zaydin View Post
    Yeah, I'm terrified of a repeat of 2016. I've seen a lot of other Democrats with the same thinking, though, all saying 'Forget the polls, get your ass out and vote'.
    Even if Democrats win, I guarantee Trump will claim he lost because of fraud and won't leave.

  11. #54051
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    Quote Originally Posted by Zaydin View Post
    Yeah, I'm terrified of a repeat of 2016. I've seen a lot of other Democrats with the same thinking, though, all saying 'Forget the polls, get your ass out and vote'.
    And really this is the attitude we MUST have in order to win. No assumptions of anything until Biden is making his acceptance speech.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Quote Originally Posted by postman1782 View Post
    Even if Democrats win, I guarantee Trump will claim he lost because of fraud and won't leave.
    There is some good news there - our Transition of Power process is pretty straight forward. The outgoing President (Resident in this case) doesn't have to do anything - they are just no longer President when the new one is sworn in. It's rather pleasantly straightforward.

  12. #54052
    Quote Originally Posted by Zaydin View Post
    Yeah, I'm terrified of a repeat of 2016. I've seen a lot of other Democrats with the same thinking, though, all saying 'Forget the polls, get your ass out and vote'.
    as the old saying goes “Bad men need nothing more to compass their ends, than that good men should look on and do nothing.”

  13. #54053
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    Quote Originally Posted by postman1782 View Post
    Even if Democrats win, I guarantee Trump will claim he lost because of fraud and won't leave.
    Which leads to another worry I have: What will Trumps cult do if he loses? Considering that Trump is preparing them to refuse to accept any outcome that doesn't end with him winning. If Trump loses he is all but guaranteed to be screeching 'fraud!', 'rigged!', 'stolen!' and his cult will be parroting that repeatedly.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Quote Originally Posted by rayvio View Post
    as the old saying goes “Bad men need nothing more to compass their ends, than that good men should look on and do nothing.”
    My entire family requested mail-in ballots here in Florida and we are fortunate enough to live relatively close to our county election offices and were planning on physically dropping off our mail-in ballots there rather than risking Trump and DeJoys sabotage delaying the delivery of our ballots.
    "If you are ever asking yourself 'Is Trump lying or is he stupid?', the answer is most likely C: All of the Above" - Seth Meyers

  14. #54054
    Quote Originally Posted by Zaydin View Post
    Which leads to another worry I have: What will Trumps cult do if he loses? Considering that Trump is preparing them to refuse to accept any outcome that doesn't end with him winning. If Trump loses he is all but guaranteed to be screeching 'fraud!', 'rigged!', 'stolen!' and his cult will be parroting that repeatedly.
    Considering the terrorist attacks they have carried out in the last few years based on his rhetoric, and the video I saw the other day, some are batshit insane enough and Qtard followers insane enough to carry out mass attacks.

  15. #54055
    Alright so I guess we are back here for SCOTUS discussion.

    Yes, its great a couple of GOP Senators said "no" to a nomination and vote til after the election. But they can have a few say the "put up a good fight". Romney I believe the most and Collins is full of crap.

    It looks to be over and they have the votes. The Dems next move is to pack the courts. Now will the electing public like the Dems doing this? Probably not which again, the Democrats are such wimps will they back down from this. Getting too far ahead but let's see if the Dems have a backbone if they win Senate and Presidency.
    "Buh dah DEMS"

  16. #54056
    Quote Originally Posted by postman1782 View Post
    Even if Democrats win, I guarantee Trump will claim he lost because of fraud and won't leave.
    So he will pull a page from the democrats that spent 3 years saying that Hillary didn't lose?

  17. #54057
    Quote Originally Posted by silveth View Post
    So he will pull a page from the democrats that spent 3 years saying that Hillary didn't lose?
    Point me to anywhere, where people are saying that Hillary didn't lose. Just one fucking example.

  18. #54058
    Quote Originally Posted by Paranoid Android View Post
    Alright so I guess we are back here for SCOTUS discussion.

    Yes, its great a couple of GOP Senators said "no" to a nomination and vote til after the election. But they can have a few say the "put up a good fight". Romney I believe the most and Collins is full of crap.

    It looks to be over and they have the votes. The Dems next move is to pack the courts. Now will the electing public like the Dems doing this? Probably not which again, the Democrats are such wimps will they back down from this. Getting too far ahead but let's see if the Dems have a backbone if they win Senate and Presidency.
    Question, If Trump nominates Barbara Lagoa for the spot, would the democrats really be upset? I am curious, I mean she got approved for her current spot with 80 votes in the senate and only 15 against. So they must have liked her then.

  19. #54059
    Quote Originally Posted by silveth View Post
    Question, If Trump nominates Barbara Lagoa for the spot, would the democrats really be upset? I am curious, I mean she got approved for her current spot with 80 votes in the senate and only 15 against. So they must have liked her then.
    Based in the rules the GOP set in 2016, they are hypocrites of the highest order if they so much as hold hearings in a Trump nominee, let alone vote to confirm.
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    LOL never change guys. I guess you won't because conservatism.
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    I do care what people on this forum think of me.
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    This site is amazing. It's comments like this, that make this site amazing.

  20. #54060
    Quote Originally Posted by Antiganon View Post
    Based in the rules the GOP set in 2016, they are hypocrites of the highest order if they so much as hold hearings in a Trump nominee, let alone vote to confirm.
    Exactly, Obama nominated Garland with 9 months before the election, right now we have what? 43 days? To go? I don't remember what it is, I just know it is less than 2 months. And if the Republicans even try, they should all be voted out.

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