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I am speechless when i read things like this. Germans have the feeling their government is weak and powerless. Merkel is pretty unpopular right now. And one thing for sure: many have the same feeling like some of you have: everyone else just wants our best (our money of course).
Really those fantasies are based on some crazy people living in a world of WW2. This couldn't be further away from the truth.
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Not quite.
He's sacrificed the next leader of the Conservatives.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/...-article-50-eu
Basically he knows that if we leave the EU the next 2 years are going to be very hard work and during that time the uncertainty is going to lead to a volatile economy. Whoever is in charge during this time will have to negotiate the terms of leaving, and deal with the fallout at home. Due to the way that diplomacy actually works people who wanted to leave the EU will not be anywhere near 100% happy with the terms offered. People who wanted to stay may well still not be up for re-electing the person that took us out of the EU.
Whichever person triggers article 50 will be unelectable for the rest of their career.
Cameron knows it, Gove knows it, Johnson knows it. Everyone with a shot at prime minister knows it.
Everyone in the UK is looking at months of uncertainty, followed by 2 years of uncertainty as we go through what could end up being the most complicated political negotiations so far in history.
Last edited by klogaroth; 2016-06-26 at 08:46 PM.
I'm shocked that people are still surprised by this. How is this possible? It was pretty clear Friday morning and the Scottish are pretty focussed to make it fast. They even want to talk to EU pretty fast how they could stay a member of EU without ever leaving. They don't want to apply for a new membership.
They seem to be really furious right now. I thought they'd take more time to take actions. Much more time.
Switzerland will never join EU, i am absolutely sure. But there are no negotiations. They had 3 years from feb 2014 to feb 2017. Now it's just about half a year left and there are no negotations. They just told Switzerland that if they want free movement removed, they'd be thrown out of EEA. They are not even talking anymore.
Of course you can hope that the EU will move. But if they don't it is pretty clear that the UK will get about the same treatment. They don't seem to move towards Switzerland and they didn't really move towards Greece.
I honestly see one offer: EEA membership with all its disadvantages and advantages. No UK bonus. UK either take it or leave it. And i bet they'd take it in the end. Becasue London needs it.
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I've heard some 4rd Reich talk too. Brexiteers comparing the EU with Hitler. I'm speechless that stuff like this really works. PErhaps just for minorities, but it works.
Oh dear hit a nerve did I? Guess I am off to see the good Dr Mengele.
As you were listing all the great things Germany has done for the EU, so was I, or perhaps you are one of those denialists as you didn't answer the question over the ovens. And then you have the cheek to moan when people raise the question of the Fourth Reich.
13/11/2022 Sir Keir Starmer. "Brexit is safe in my hands, Let me be really clear about Brexit. There is no case for going back into the EU and no case for going into the single market or customs union. Freedom of movement is over"
Maybe they will try to find a way out of Brexit. As i said already Friday: i am pretty sure there could be new elections soon and they might be seen as a referendum 2.0 (the winners might tell you that they don't feel bound to the old referendum).
If Johnson doesn't step forward, he's dead weight anyways. It's weird how calm he is in times people expected him to take actions. Now he wants time, there should be no haste and so on. They might have noone left...
When i read the article, one thing seems clear to me: the EU won't talk about new treaties before someone triggers Article 50. So there's no sense to delay it but - nobody wants to trigger it for real. The longer they wait, the more probable is it will never be triggered.
My guess: it will be triggered in the coming 6 months or it will never be triggered.
Last edited by mmoc4ec7d51a68; 2016-06-26 at 09:01 PM.
Scotland wanting another referendum but wants to stay as a EU member. I thought they wanted independence? *confused*
They had an independence referendum in 2014..https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scotti...ferendum,_2014
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Well for now we only have a lame internal tory vote in 3 months. Setting up a proper election would be off at least the same amount of time. I also wouldn't call Johnson calm. The guy is currently losing a lot of sleep, because he is the one that is next in line to take the poisoned chalice. We will see how things are after Tuesday's meeting of the EU leaders and the subsequent meeting on Wednesday without the UK. I doubt we will see anything substantial until then..
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