Folly and fakery have always been with us... but it has never before been as dangerous as it is now, never in history have we been able to afford it less. - Isaac Asimov
Every damn thing you do in this life, you pay for. - Edith Piaf
The party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. - Orwell
No amount of belief makes something a fact. - James Randi
Nate Silver and the team at 538 actually know what they are doing. I know who does care what they think, the people who are trying to get their candidate elected. Nate Silver is right most of the time, and he's got the numbers to back it up. As it stands now, Hillary is a strong favorite to win. Of course, if the numbers change, then the odds will change. That's why statisticians are better than partisan pollsters.
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538 usually discusses things dealing with numbers. Now, if you want to find out how the public feels about Benghazi, and what percentage of people are swayed by it, then 538 is the place to look.
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I support neither of them.
I'm either not going to vote, or I'm going to vote for the same person I did in 2012, Gary Johnson.
Clearly you don't know how to read. I'm voting Trump and I know she's already been cleared about 30 times over for things. As it stands there is nothing criminal against her so please stop talking.
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While crooked applies to almost every single politician out there and I really don't think it should apply to Hillary specifically, Bernie and Clinton supporters are more brainless and brainwashed and more violent. "AGREE WITH US OR WE WILL STRIKE YOU!"
Silver actually spoke a while back about Trump winning the nomination. he was basing it on how many candidates were still in it on Super Tuesday, and he was right. Trump won it, because too many people stayed in for too long. The pundits didn't take the amount of money into account when determining if people would drop out. Some guys stayed in this year, who would have quickly exited 8 years ago.
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Isn't that the same as Trump supporters? How many times has that guy been caught in a lie?
Honestly now,
there's some value in that data.
It is not what some people might think it is, because it is not saying us (yet) that Clinton will win this thing.
What it tells us instead is what Trumps under heavy criticism for already, by his very party.
He has no ground game. He has no campaign setup across the states, and that's why the numbers look the way they are now.
Clinton's campaign is already running well oiled.
With that said, after the conventions, when or if Trump manages to have a proper general election campaign going, his numbers might go up.
She on the other hand cannot gain much more ground. The ball is essentially then in his court. All she needs to do is play defense.
"The pen is mightier than the sword.. and considerably easier to write with."
A quick google search and I am laughing people are taking him seriously http://dailycaller.com/2016/05/04/7-...-donald-trump/
Looks like he thought Donald Trump had no chance to be the Republican candidate. But he knows how the President will be!
I think it will really depend on how much the RNC wants to help him out. They are also dealing with a problem of losing seats in the Senate, which could be disastrous for them if Hillary is president. We are talking about the possibility of three SCOTUS picks, just in the next four years. I don't think people realize how big of a swing that will be. This could easily mean a 6-3, or even a 7-2 Supreme Court for the next 25 years.
I'll say this, like I been saying this whole election cycle and as someone that support neither person for president. We are a on major US terrorist attack away from Donald Trump becoming president of this country. We got 5 months there is so much that can and will change over those months, including these weekly tracking polls that been anything but right the entire election cycle.
Frankly, I think the polls are not even close to capturing the true dissatisfaction of the entire working class of the US. The fact that many people don't even get polled from one party to the other and another fact there are a lot people that simply don't let others know whom they are actually going to vote for.
Who are these people they are polling anyway? If they have a cellphone and are not hooked up to one of these polling sights then they are not getting a phone call. There are not that many people that still have landlines in this country anymore and if they do many of them keep their phones unlisted.
Trump supporters are in videos assaulting a black girl, sucker punching a black guy while being escorted by police, and even using pepper spray.
None of that justifies violence perpetrated by the protesters, they are also clueless asshats. But no, Hillary and Bernie supporters do not hold a monopoly on violence, stupidity, and aggression.
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He goes by the numbers at the time, that's his thing. Feel free to not take him seriously, his track record is impeccable.
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You focused on Hillary, I merely pointed out that Trump's supporters would do the very same thing. Cognitive dissonance is a real thing.
I'm not sure why you think a terrorist attack would benefit Trump. What I envision is an attack happening, Trump saying "this is why we need to better monitor our immigrants" and everyone calling him a racist before violently masturbating to a photo of Hillary Clinton (who will then say the same thing, but with more PC language and less of a firm promise.)
I feel sorry for anyone who doesn't realize the media is owned by the government by now; a government that, by most metrics, is really trying hard to push Hillary in and push Trump out.
Really?
http://www.redstate.com/leon_h_wolf/...testers-video/
Violent folks in all groups.
What are we gonna do now? Taking off his turban, they said, is this man a Jew?
'Cause they're working for the clampdown
They put up a poster saying we earn more than you!
When we're working for the clampdown
We will teach our twisted speech To the young believers
We will train our blue-eyed men To be young believers