I've said it once, I've said it a dozen times. I will say it again now.
One of the most bizarre things about the ENTIRE Trump Presidency is that Trump nominated Pompeo to be CIA Director within days (November 18th 2016) of winning the election in 2016.
He nominated Mattis as SecDef on December 1st 2016.
He nominated Tillerson as Secretary of State on December 13th 2016.
He nominated Coats to be Director of National intelligence on January 5th 2017. the DNI is the boss of the CIA Director.
He chose Pompeo to be CIA director before perhaps any other job that required Senate approval. And before the biggest, more senior job.
This jumped out at me then, and I've never moved off of it, because the CIA would be the agency most-responsible to respond to Russia's attack on us in 2016. They are the ones with the human intelligence inside Russia. What better way to short circuit the response to Russia than to install a loyalist in charge of the agency? Would Pompeo betray America? Unlikely. But he would protect Trump, who is elevating a lowly Congressman to heights that Congressmen have rarely seen before - including now Secretary of State, which lets be clear, is a position historically well above Pomeo's pedigree.
The CIA has never trusted Trump. Since the earliest days in the Administration it leaked out that they were holding back what they were sending in intelligence briefings because they did not trust everybody in the West Wing and could not be certain it wasn't going to be leaked for political purposes or seen by Russia. Trump's performance with the Russian ambassador and foreign minister in 2017 furthered their fears.
The current CIA Director, Gina Haspel, is a life-long CIA intelligence officer and (as we know from her confirmation hearings) extremely popular and respected within the agency. But she's kept her profile low. Way lower than Pompeo did when he was CIA Director. Slight aside - she may be an ideal candidate for the leaker, which from the Whistleblower complaint is someone who is senior enough to have regular contact with senior White House officials, but is not actually "in the White House".
So the fact a CIA officer is the whistleblower is not that surprising. The question is, is he/she speaking for his/her self, or on behalf of a wider group in the agency who share the concerns. Because I would not be surprised if it is the latter given the pattern of behavior between Trump and intelligence agencies, particularly the CIA, since he started to run for President.
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No he won't. Democrats have 48 seats right now. Chances are (going from the previous posts I made), they'll have 47-48 seats in January 2021. They'll need 3-4 seats, and McConnell will VERY hard Whip his caucus against that.
He'll tolerate Susan Collins going against him on Obamacare repeal... something he didn't really care about and only used as a fundraising tool... but against endangering his court legacy? Not in a million years.
I don't think there exists a potential Supreme Court Justice acceptable to Democrats who can get three Republican votes when McConnell brings down the hammer on his caucus and makes clear that no crossing of the line will be tolerated.