Last edited by Felya; 2018-12-14 at 03:02 PM.
Folly and fakery have always been with us... but it has never before been as dangerous as it is now, never in history have we been able to afford it less. - Isaac Asimov
Every damn thing you do in this life, you pay for. - Edith Piaf
The party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. - Orwell
No amount of belief makes something a fact. - James Randi
Dropping just about 4% GDP PPP per capita over 3 years from 2013 highs while oil price halved and exchange rate doubled is pretty decent result.
They are quite capable as far as "containing damage" goes.
"Encouraging growth" - not so much. "Just keep it stable long enough and once everyone trusts it to be stable things will pick up" seems to be their refrain.
...but not many trust it to be stable yet.
Most of Siberia would have to be independent and probably would balkanize between the ethnic minority regions (Tuva, Buryatia, Sakha Republic) and the overwhelming Slavic majority regions, although a lot of Russians and minorities like Ukrainians might just mass immigrate to European Russia anyway (similar to Ethnic Germans in East Europe after WW2).
If Japan got any piece of Russia it would probably be Sakhalin (Karafuto) and the Kuril Islands.
Folly and fakery have always been with us... but it has never before been as dangerous as it is now, never in history have we been able to afford it less. - Isaac Asimov
Every damn thing you do in this life, you pay for. - Edith Piaf
The party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. - Orwell
No amount of belief makes something a fact. - James Randi
Shalcker's been predicting the big turn around for Russia aproximately since five minutes after the first sanctions were put into effect 4.5 years ago.
Instead, it keeps getting worse. Oh sure there's been the brighter corner here and there. But it's been a constant state of retreat.
It's a joke that it's almost 2019 and he's saying the same nonsense about Russia's prospects he was saying in 2014, as if the past 5 years of isolation, economic and security declines haven't happened.
Their economy has a modest growth and will continue to grow. Actually its outpacing the economies of lots of EU countries.
Russia is so rich in natural resources that no amount of EU and especially US sanctions can break them.
If China had joined the sanction game it would have been a different story, but China is backing up Russia. To be honest with you China is way more important partner than the US for Russia and it should be for any other country in the world.
US is just fading away, slowly but surely and by weaponizing the dollar, thry've signed its downfall (look how many countries are currently switching trade from USDs to local currencies and how many just font give s flack about sanction threats). In 2 decades max, power will switch to the east
anyone posted the capital flight figures yet. yuuuuuggeeeee.
The sanctions that have been used recently is not quite doing the job of isolating Iran as was supposed to, even India is still purchasing oil from Iran with there own currency along with other countries doing the same thing.
The petrol dollar will eventually lose the value it once had in the world and should that go under, things in the USA isn't going to be pleasant as that is one of the biggest advantages that the USA has in the world. The whole 'America first' slogan isn't doing much good for Trump. Any other president wouldn't have done this much damage to the reputation of the USA.
2014 Gamergate: "If you want games without hyper sexualized female characters and representation, then learn to code!"
2023: "What's with all these massively successful games with ugly (realistic) women? How could this have happened?!"
It's a pretty pervasive Western bromide that Japanese culture is inclined toward regression. Truth is, the one constant about Japanese history is that the country has consistently reinvented itself, for good and ill, in order to deal with external challenges. The society was completely transformed during the early years of Meiji period, for instance, from what it was in the Edo period. The political changes alone were dramatic - Japan went from a quasi-feudal society that was the repeated target of foreign intrusions, to a bureaucratic state and imperial world power in about 25 years - but even Japanese culture, from architecture to styles of dress, changed drastically over just a couple of decades.
Russia could certainly do the same because (a) they already have, multiple times in the past, and (b) literally any nation can because human societies are incredibly malleable.
Last edited by Slybak; 2018-12-15 at 09:39 AM.
Not "big turn around". A "percent or two growth" turn around.
Exactly like we see now.
Except it doesn't actually get worse. Even our international reserves are back to 2014 levels.Instead, it keeps getting worse. Oh sure there's been the brighter corner here and there. But it's been a constant state of retreat.
They happened and they were adapted to.It's a joke that it's almost 2019 and he's saying the same nonsense about Russia's prospects he was saying in 2014, as if the past 5 years of isolation, economic and security declines haven't happened.
Back to growth now.
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You mean this? Not that big really in absolute terms.
There are also gold reserves and balance of trade (higher positive balance of trade seems to be coinciding with current capital outflows).